Value of the SP500 = bank-reserves x leverage ratio

Money is based on central bank reserves held by commercial banks (called 'liquidity') and G-sibs have a x14.3 leverage ratio¹, so it makes sense that the maximum value of the SP500 (the US economy) is reserves times this leverage.

Currently banks have 3.175T of these reserves², but:

•QT cancels some 80bn reserves each month³

•Tax income in September usually drains 200bn of reserves temporarily*

These two together would remove

Williams-Sonoma WSM jumped today

I see the dividend was announced and it increased from .79 to .90 ex-date 07/20. Stock was up $5.41 (4.47%) today. I don't see any big news. Does anyone else?

I'm not complaining, just wondering what moved it.

submitted by /u/babarock
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What percent of your portfolio do you hold in cash?

At the beginning of the Bear market in 2022, I was around 20% cash. After some DCA last year and earlier this year, I'm currently around 10% cash in my portfolio.

For some additional context, the portfolio is in the low 6 figures, fully tilted towards global equities (no bonds).

Part of me wants to be fully invested because I have a long time frame and don't need the money, but the other part of me feels things are a little frothy here, an

Anyone successfully make a claim against a company that went Chapter 11?

Schwab sent me a form 410 so I could make a claim against Athenex. My initial investment was about $1200, but it lost all value before they finally filed so it seems pointless to make a claim for the few dollars my stock was last worth before they went under.

submitted by /u/PlumPumper
What happens to demand for Shutterstock and Getty pictures now with Midjourney, Stable Diffusion, Dezgo, etc? What do people prefer?

Let's say you're looking for stock photos... where do you go? People used to go to Shutterstock, or Getty. In this new age of generative AI, has that changed? Will it change? I don't know whether to go long or short on these guys... their implementation of generative AI into their platforms will seemingly generate loads of revenue except unless their technology can keep up with the competition (right now it can't) then how does the market react?

Rivian backers anyone?

Personally feel that the stock has bottomed out. I see a lot of Rivians around which is not the case with Lucid. Irrespective of their deal with Amazon, they seem to have figured out the manufacturing issues and are looking to deliver a ton of vehicles.

Anyone sees a huge upswing potential? I personally see it unless some massive recall comes in or they fall into some kind of legal battle etc.

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ESPP blackout period

I recently puchased shares of company stocks through their ESPP, but the purchase happened during a blackout period. The company has 45 days from the end of the most recent financial quarter before they release their earnings report.

Because of this, I essentially have to wait 6 weeks before I can sell my ESPP shares. Is this normally the case with ESPP shares? I thought we would be able to sell shares as soon as we got them.

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50% compounded strategy

My simple strategy is cashout at 50% (1.5x) everytime only with blue chip stocks in a good dip. I've done this 6 different times within 1 year so that was compounded 50% everytime.

Do I miss out on huge potential gains? Yes, but human greed more times than not destroys those gains. This method takes away emotion and greed and locks in guaranteed profits. From 25k to around 280k 1 year using the 50% strategy.

My only rules are blue chip stocks

Navigating the Disconnect: The Changing Landscape of Monetary Policy and its Implications for Market Expectations and Equities

In the years leading up to the 2008 financial crisis, the US Federal Reserve operated under a “scarce reserve” monetary policy, which fostered an active marketplace where banks engaged in federal funds trading. However, since the introduction of Quantitative Easing following the crisis, the monetary landscape has undergone a significant transformation. The flood of reserves into the system has severed the direct link between interest rates and the money supply.

AI in stock research

Have you used AI (such as Bard) as a tool in stock research?

According to Bard, it has:

Technical analysis tools, such as moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and —Fibonacci retracements, to identify trends and patterns in stock prices. —Fundamental analysis tools, such as financial statements, analyst ratings, and news articles, to assess a company's financial health and prospects. —Screening tools, such as Finviz and Stock Rover, to identify sto


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